Economic Synergies:
There are
several areas in which Brazil’s activities in Africa are focused. The first,
and perhaps most important, is agriculture. As I mentioned in a previous
post, Brazil in recent years has solidified its position as a major world
player in agriculture with a clear competitive advantage and broad scientific
know-how of how to build a successful farming sector in the tropics. As this
chart shows, Africa is in desperate need of an agricultural revolution and
Brazil’s remarkable success in this field over the last thirty years reveals a
possible path forward:
(Source: The
Economist)
José Graziano da
Silva, a former Brazilian government official, now heads the UN’s Food and
Agriculture Organization, which works to develop food security in Africa.
Brazil is helping the continent to mechanize its agricultural sector to improve
productivity, highlighted by a recent
deal to provide equipment to Ghana. It is also improving research and
development through the involvement
of Embrapa, the state agricultural research institution, in Senegal, Mali,
Ghana and Mozambique. With increased urbanization, changing climates
(particularly in the Sahel), a booming population and voracious international
appetites (primarily in Asia and the Middle East), Africa faces more food security
challenges than ever before. Brazil’s partnership in this field could thus be
critical to the region’s future.
The second area
of importance is offshore oil and gas drilling. Petrobras has become an
international leader in offshore exploration and development, and should continue
to solidify its expertise in this area through the experience of drilling the
pre-salt fields off the Brazilian coast. New reserves off the coast of Africa
offer significant promise as well, as companies rush to invest in the offshore
industries of Angola and West Africa. In addition, Mozambique, another Portuguese-speaking
country, appears to have promising offshore gas resources that Petrobras is
keen to develop. By ramping up investment in Africa’s nascent offshore industry
at the same time that it begins to develop its own immense oil riches, Brazil
may soon succeed in turning the South Atlantic into a new energy hub.
The third field
of cooperation is in mining. After building a vibrant mining sector itself,
Brazil has been eager to replicate its success in Africa. Vale, a former
state-owned enterprise, has been aggressively expanding into the region since
2004, establishing operations in Gabon, Guinea, Angola, Mozambique, the DRC,
and South Africa. The company announced a plan
to invest nearly $2 billion on the continent in 2012, primarily in its
bread-and-butter iron ore operations, but also in base metals, fertilizers,
coal, and steel production.
The commodities
boom has been a boon to the global energy and mining industries, and few
regions have benefited as much as Africa, home to six of the last decade’s
ten-fastest growing countries. There has been quite a lot of talk of Africa’s rise, and
the next few decades may well bring about even more impressive developments. By
establishing itself as a major partner in agriculture, energy and mining,
Brazil is clearly trying to put itself in place to take advantage of this
booming market.
Brazil’s banks
have been increasing their investment in Africa as well. BTG Pactual, a
Brazilian investment bank often called the Goldman Sachs of the tropics, announced last
month that it would create a new $1 billion USD private equity fund for the
region. BNDES, the state-backed development bank with a loan portfolio four times
the size of the World Bank, has also been increasing its investments in Africa
with a focus on infrastructure, logistics and social development projects. In a
particularly high-profile agreement reached several weeks ago, the BNDES agreed
to finance
renovations to an airport in Northern Ghana. In general, the BNDES has made
it a priority to promote investment that will facilitate trade across the South
Atlantic, such as ports and roads. So far, things clearly seem to be moving in
the right direction. Trade between Brazil and Africa skyrocketed from $4
billion in 2000 to $20 billion in 2010, and looks set to continue its upward
trend.
Promoting Good Governance
Brazil’s
potential in Africa, however, goes beyond investment in commodities. Brazil has
much to teach the region in the realm of governance, an important factor in
turning an economic boom into a true societal transformation. There is much
concern in Africa that the current growth in commodity markets is not
benefiting common people, but rather enriching the continent’s elite and
worsening traditional inequalities. Many African countries, such as Equatorial
Guinea and Angola, have long experienced stunning growth rates that have not
translated into broad development.
Brazil has much to teach Africa in this regard. Over the last decade, it used
commodity-based economic growth to reduce inequalities and build its middle
class, creating the famous “Brazil
Model” that has become the country’s claim to fame across the world. In
addition to its success in creating a social safety net and solidifying its
consumer base, Brazil experienced several major breakthroughs in public health
initiatives that Africa is keen to replicate, namely in controlling
population growth and combating
AIDS.
Besides these
specific policy areas, Brazil can offer guidance to African leaders on a topic
that Western and East Asian advisers cannot easily relate to: shaking off a
legacy of colonialism and entrenched inequalities in order to build capable
governance structures and vibrant, inclusive democracies. Alongside its BRICS
partner, South Africa (regarded as Africa’s natural leader), Brazil has moved
forward in trying to strengthen the public sector on the continent, most notably
through co-chairing with the United States the Open Government Partnership to promote
transparency in governance. This advisory role is a good example of Brazil’s
growing soft power on the African continent, which complements its growing
economic influence.
One other area
in which Brazil has provided support to Africa has been in promoting exchange
programs, especially for students from Portuguese-speaking countries such as
Angola and Mozambique. As Brazil’s universities continue to grow in stature,
this may have the residual effect of improving tertiary education in certain
parts of Africa as well.
What Makes the Brazil–Africa Partnership
Unique?
Africa’s
incredible growth story has been a popular topic for some time now and Brazil
is certainly not the only country to make inroads into the region. There has
been much focus on China’s growing role on the continent, but other actors such
as India and the Gulf countries have also been increasingly active in Africa as
they run into resource constraints at home and are eager to lock in supply
chains across the world. Western countries are also maintaining their interest,
with the former European colonial powers continuing to be involved in trade and
security issues and the White House outlining a new
engagement plan last week. With all of this international attention, Brazil
may seem to be a relatively small player on the continent.
But to compare
Brazil to these other powers largely misses the point of Brazil’s involvement
in Africa. True, it does not have the financial power of China or the Gulf
countries to finance massive infrastructure projects across the region. (In
fact, it is having trouble overcoming its own domestic
infrastructure challenges.) Nor does it offer the military security or the trade
opportunities of the West. Brazil also lacks the demographic heft of China and
India, who are able to export millions of workers to the continent and create
large and influential diaspora communities. But Brazil does not need these
advantages because its goals in Africa are fundamentally different.
As a country
with immense natural resources itself, Brazil does not need Africa to keep its
economy up and running. Three of Africa’s main potential strategic industries—agriculture,
energy and minerals—are in fact the three areas in which Brazil already has a
strong competitive advantage. Rather, Brazil hopes to use Africa as a way for
many of its largest companies to gain a more international foothold. By
expanding operations in Africa, companies such as Petrobras and Vale are able
to move beyond their domestic market and consolidate their positions as major
multinationals. Odebrecht, a large construction firm, has become the largest
private employer in Angola and one of the largest employers in Mozambique.
Politically,
Brazil is also seeking to build alliances in its quest to reshape the
international order. No country has challenged the existing international
structures in recent years more than Brazil. It has fought very publicly for
reform of the UN, World Bank and IMF. It has tried (mostly in vain) to rally the
BRICS countries around unified positions to challenge Western hegemony in these
institutions. In perhaps the clearest sign of growing Brazil-Africa political
unity, Brazil was the only major non-African country to vote for Nigerian
finance minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala to become the new president of the World
Bank. (Brazil was actually isolated in this decision as Russia, China and India
all voted for the US-backed candidate, Jim Yong Kim.) Over the long term,
Brazilians believe that an emerging Africa could become an important ally in
this crusade to alter existing patterns of global hegemony.
Brazil has
several unique ties to Africa that give it an advantage over the other powers
vying for influence in the region. In many ways, Brazil has become the most
vocal leader of the so-called “Third World” countries, which has helped it to
win African support. (China, which used to occupy this role, has increasingly
cast aside a solidary approach to dealing with its emerging market peers as it
focuses on its own needs for maintaining its rapid industrialization.) Also, using
the lessons from its own development experience, Brazil has tried to
promote itself as an example for African countries to follow. In addition, Brazilian
policymakers are quick to play up their country’s cultural affinities with
Africa, pointing out the country’s large Afro-Brazilian population and cultural
ties to their ancestral land. (The irony, of course, is that most of these
policymakers are of white, European descent and more similar to their Western
counterparts than they often dare to admit.) They have also focused
strategically on the continent’s two main Portuguese-speaking countries, Angola
and Mozambique, as a gateway to the rest of the region. These distinctive connections are slowly
helping Brazil to cultivate its own special relationship with the continent.
Brazil will
never be the game-changer in Africa that China is, nor will it rival the U.S.
for influence any time soon. But the growing South Atlantic partnership is
clearly important in many ways. Aside from the obvious benefits of trade
relations, economic synergies, and international development cooperation, an
increasingly strong Brazil-Africa alliance could ultimately become one of the
most important political forces in international relations, providing both
sides can continue seeing eye-to-eye on reforming world institutions. This is
perhaps one of the clearest examples yet that the global order of the 21st
century will ultimately end up looking very different from that of the 20th.
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